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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.30vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.35+2.90vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51-0.26vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.39+0.61vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.23+1.55vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-2.79vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.70+1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.50-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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4.9Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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2.74Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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4.61Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.55George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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3.21St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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8.45Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Pennsylvania2.790.1%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 12.4% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 1.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 29.7% | 23.1% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 35.8% | 11.7% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 20.8% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 10.9% | 77.5% |
| Amanda Johnson | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 6.3% |
| Christina Pryne | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.