Race 12A

laker-showdown

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Andrew Michels 26.2% 19.2% 16.5% 12.1% 9.4% 7.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Julia Janssen 6.2% 7.2% 7.6% 8.9% 10.0% 8.5% 11.1% 11.0% 12.0% 12.0% 5.0% 0.5%
Caroline Henry 7.2% 8.4% 9.9% 10.4% 10.0% 10.4% 10.3% 12.8% 8.9% 8.1% 2.9% 0.7%
Carly Irwin 6.3% 6.6% 7.3% 8.4% 7.8% 9.7% 10.2% 12.2% 13.0% 12.2% 5.1% 1.0%
Ryan Dodge 7.8% 9.4% 9.2% 11.8% 10.3% 11.8% 11.2% 9.7% 9.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.2%
Marco Constantini 9.4% 11.4% 11.7% 11.2% 11.1% 11.3% 10.6% 10.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Sedona Miles 10.5% 9.3% 10.1% 10.4% 11.6% 10.2% 10.9% 9.4% 9.3% 5.7% 2.2% 0.3%
Cecilia Dietsch 11.9% 11.6% 11.2% 10.4% 12.0% 10.8% 8.8% 8.6% 7.4% 5.2% 1.8% 0.1%
John McCalmont 9.6% 10.9% 11.1% 10.7% 10.7% 10.8% 11.2% 9.3% 9.0% 4.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Luke Sadalla 2.8% 4.2% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 5.8% 7.8% 7.7% 12.7% 22.3% 19.7% 5.3%
Alex Schlotterer 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 3.1% 4.3% 6.0% 12.6% 40.8% 24.0%
Piper Luke 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.6% 6.0% 17.2% 67.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.