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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.87+2.79vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+1.93vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.72+0.13vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.26-1.75vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.79+0.94vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Vermont0.8716.2%1st Place
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3.93Bates College0.6715.7%1st Place
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4.58Maine Maritime Academy0.4111.8%1st Place
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4.13University of Vermont0.7214.2%1st Place
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3.25Northeastern University1.2621.9%1st Place
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6.94Middlebury College-0.793.4%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.096.8%1st Place
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6.29University of New Hampshire-0.004.5%1st Place
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6.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.525.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 16.2% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 15.7% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 21.9% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Grace Augspurger | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 34.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 13.0% |
| James Sullivan | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 20.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.