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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.15+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04-0.91vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.67+2.05vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.17-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.92-0.41vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.53-2.01vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University0.34-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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3.2University of Minnesota2.150.1%1st Place
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2.09University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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4.4Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.9Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.99Marquette University-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.68Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Trepton | 36.4% | 32.3% | 20.2% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessie Olson | 12.4% | 19.2% | 30.6% | 20.0% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 37.9% | 30.9% | 19.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 25.8% | 23.9% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Harrison Faust | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 25.6% | 25.0% |
| David Gates | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 21.8% | 13.5% | 5.6% |
| Harry Posner | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 40.7% |
| Christopher Avallone | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 23.5% |
| Ryan Mabie | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 22.3% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.