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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.72+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+0.99vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+0.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.55vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Vermont0.7220.5%1st Place
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2.99University of Vermont0.8723.7%1st Place
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3.03Bates College0.6722.4%1st Place
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4.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.097.8%1st Place
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3.65Maine Maritime Academy0.4114.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.774.2%1st Place
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4.87University of New Hampshire-0.007.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 20.5% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 23.7% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 22.4% | 21.2% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 23.2% | 14.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 14.0% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 4.2% |
| Kate Myler | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 18.2% | 50.4% |
| James Sullivan | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 24.1% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.