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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+0.17vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.16+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.15-0.96vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University0.17+0.85vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.53-0.03vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University0.34-3.27vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.67-2.82vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-0.92-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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2.17University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.46Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Minnesota2.150.2%1st Place
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5.85Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
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6.97Marquette University-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.73Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 37.4% | 31.0% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 34.1% | 31.0% | 23.2% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 22.2% | 24.7% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jessie Olson | 16.1% | 20.0% | 27.9% | 21.6% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Gates | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 7.6% |
| Christopher Avallone | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 21.0% | 23.4% | 22.3% |
| Ryan Mabie | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 24.1% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Harrison Faust | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 26.5% | 26.9% |
| Harry Posner | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.