← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Chicago-0.92+5.44vs Predicted
-
3Northern Michigan University0.17+3.10vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin-0.67+3.18vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-0.53+1.91vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota2.15-3.95vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University0.34-2.40vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University1.16-5.53vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin3.04-8.88vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin3.04-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.44University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.1Northern Michigan University0.170.0%1st Place
-
7.18University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
-
6.91Marquette University-0.530.0%1st Place
-
3.05University of Minnesota2.150.2%1st Place
-
5.6Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
-
4.47Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
-
2.12University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
-
2.13University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Posner | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 24.9% | 37.3% |
| David Gates | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 14.4% | 8.0% |
| Harrison Faust | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 24.9% | 28.1% |
| Christopher Avallone | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| Jessie Olson | 16.9% | 19.2% | 28.1% | 20.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 2.4% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 10.1% | 4.4% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.5% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 26.6% | 21.9% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 36.3% | 30.9% | 20.8% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 34.6% | 32.9% | 20.7% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.