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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.72+2.20vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.87-0.04vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+0.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Vermont0.7219.8%1st Place
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3.06Bates College0.6722.7%1st Place
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2.96University of Vermont0.8723.4%1st Place
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3.62Maine Maritime Academy0.4115.7%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.8%1st Place
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4.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.098.7%1st Place
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4.92University of New Hampshire-0.006.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 19.8% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 22.7% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 23.4% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 15.7% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 4.9% |
| Kate Myler | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 50.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 23.2% | 13.8% |
| James Sullivan | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 24.5% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.