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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.87+2.02vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.72+0.32vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Vermont0.8723.5%1st Place
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3.16Bates College0.6720.8%1st Place
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3.32University of Vermont0.7219.4%1st Place
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3.66Maine Maritime Academy0.4115.3%1st Place
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4.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.099.2%1st Place
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5.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.525.8%1st Place
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5.08University of New Hampshire-0.005.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 23.5% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 20.8% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 19.4% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 15.3% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
| John Van Zanten | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 19.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 34.1% |
| James Sullivan | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.