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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.67+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.72+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.87-0.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.41vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.26vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Bates College0.6722.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Vermont0.7220.3%1st Place
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5.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.525.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Vermont0.8722.8%1st Place
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4.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.098.9%1st Place
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3.74Maine Maritime Academy0.4114.2%1st Place
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4.95University of New Hampshire-0.006.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 22.1% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 20.3% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 36.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 22.8% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 14.2% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 7.0% |
| James Sullivan | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 23.6% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.