Race 1B

3-way-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Lee 65.0% 22.5% 8.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Sitter 9.0% 22.0% 24.9% 16.1% 13.0% 8.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.8%
Kerry McLaughlin 8.5% 18.8% 20.1% 16.7% 15.4% 10.2% 7.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Vytenis Karaitis 3.4% 7.1% 10.1% 12.9% 15.4% 15.1% 11.7% 14.7% 9.6%
Davis Dolson 2.2% 5.7% 7.4% 10.5% 9.4% 11.6% 16.8% 16.2% 20.2%
Benjamin Reiland 2.3% 4.7% 6.8% 8.6% 10.2% 14.2% 16.7% 18.9% 17.6%
Caroline Darin 2.3% 5.2% 4.8% 9.7% 10.5% 13.5% 16.5% 19.3% 18.2%
Rachelle Koch 2.1% 3.4% 6.8% 6.2% 9.2% 11.4% 14.1% 18.6% 28.2%
Sarah Ellis 5.2% 10.6% 11.0% 16.1% 15.9% 15.7% 12.4% 8.5% 4.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.