← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont0.54+2.59vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57+3.78vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.13vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.46-0.18vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-0.49+0.55vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire0.10-1.54vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.67-0.90vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.24-3.75vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.42-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.59University of Vermont0.5418.9%1st Place
-
5.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.576.8%1st Place
-
4.13Maine Maritime Academy0.2714.5%1st Place
-
3.82Northeastern University0.4618.7%1st Place
-
5.55University of Minnesota-0.497.3%1st Place
-
4.46University of New Hampshire0.1012.7%1st Place
-
6.1Bates College-0.675.5%1st Place
-
4.25University of Vermont0.2413.1%1st Place
-
7.31Middlebury College-1.422.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 18.9% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Michael Morley | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 13.8% |
| Nalu Ho | 14.5% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 18.7% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 11.7% |
| Sam Harris | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 18.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 13.1% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| William Procter | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.