Race 2B

3-way-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Lee 63.3% 24.8% 8.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kerry McLaughlin 6.0% 15.7% 21.6% 19.7% 14.5% 10.8% 7.3% 3.0% 1.4%
Sarah Ellis 4.8% 10.2% 11.3% 14.3% 17.2% 15.5% 12.2% 9.8% 4.7%
Molly Sitter 12.3% 24.5% 22.9% 17.6% 10.9% 6.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5%
Davis Dolson 2.5% 4.5% 7.6% 10.8% 11.4% 11.5% 14.6% 16.9% 20.2%
Vytenis Karaitis 3.7% 7.5% 9.7% 11.5% 13.6% 17.6% 14.6% 12.8% 9.0%
Caroline Darin 2.4% 4.5% 6.2% 7.8% 11.6% 14.1% 16.6% 19.5% 17.3%
Rachelle Koch 2.2% 3.6% 5.8% 7.1% 8.6% 10.7% 16.7% 17.6% 27.7%
Benjamin Reiland 2.8% 4.7% 6.8% 8.4% 11.5% 12.7% 15.0% 18.9% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.