Race 2B

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Luke Quine 20.3% 19.8% 15.2% 14.4% 11.4% 8.5% 6.4% 2.9% 1.1%
Nalu Ho 14.5% 14.7% 14.2% 14.3% 12.2% 12.8% 9.2% 5.9% 2.2%
Aidan Boni 18.4% 15.7% 15.2% 14.1% 13.0% 11.1% 7.8% 3.5% 1.5%
Sam Harris 11.1% 11.7% 13.6% 14.2% 14.0% 11.2% 10.3% 9.8% 4.1%
William Procter 2.7% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 5.2% 7.0% 10.4% 17.5% 46.0%
Caitlin Derby 15.0% 14.6% 14.2% 13.4% 13.5% 11.8% 9.4% 6.2% 1.8%
Tiernan O'Kane 6.5% 7.4% 9.0% 8.3% 10.2% 13.4% 14.9% 19.0% 11.2%
Amanda Yolles 5.2% 5.7% 6.5% 8.1% 9.4% 12.8% 15.8% 18.1% 18.3%
Michael Morley 6.3% 7.0% 8.3% 9.2% 11.2% 11.6% 15.6% 17.2% 13.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.