Race 3B

3-way-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Lee 62.0% 24.3% 9.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vytenis Karaitis 2.3% 5.6% 7.6% 11.1% 13.4% 13.1% 18.8% 16.3% 11.8%
Molly Sitter 10.5% 20.7% 21.8% 16.9% 13.5% 9.0% 5.6% 1.9% 0.1%
Davis Dolson 1.8% 4.3% 6.3% 9.3% 9.6% 12.6% 14.1% 20.6% 21.4%
Benjamin Reiland 2.4% 5.3% 6.3% 10.1% 9.0% 12.3% 13.3% 19.0% 22.3%
Ben Breuner 5.5% 10.4% 13.1% 15.1% 15.6% 15.0% 11.8% 9.2% 4.3%
Kerry McLaughlin 8.2% 17.0% 18.2% 18.0% 14.2% 12.0% 7.6% 3.9% 0.9%
Sarah Ellis 4.9% 9.1% 12.7% 11.1% 15.7% 14.7% 13.2% 11.3% 7.3%
Rachelle Koch 2.4% 3.3% 4.9% 5.0% 8.1% 11.0% 15.6% 17.8% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.