Race 4B

3-way-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Lee 62.1% 23.7% 9.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Breuner 3.5% 7.2% 14.5% 15.7% 16.5% 14.1% 14.1% 8.5% 5.9%
Kerry McLaughlin 7.4% 17.9% 16.2% 19.5% 15.1% 12.5% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0%
Davis Dolson 1.6% 5.0% 6.1% 9.2% 9.1% 13.3% 15.2% 17.2% 23.3%
Molly Sitter 13.2% 22.9% 20.2% 15.9% 11.7% 8.6% 4.1% 2.8% 0.6%
Benjamin Reiland 2.3% 3.6% 7.3% 7.3% 9.4% 13.0% 16.5% 19.0% 21.6%
Vytenis Karaitis 3.0% 6.8% 8.9% 10.2% 12.9% 15.9% 15.8% 15.8% 10.7%
Sarah Ellis 4.7% 9.6% 12.0% 14.1% 15.5% 13.0% 12.8% 11.2% 7.1%
Rachelle Koch 2.2% 3.3% 5.2% 4.9% 8.7% 9.4% 14.2% 22.3% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.