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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.54+2.59vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.11vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.46+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.24-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.49-0.35vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-1.09vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.67-1.98vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.42-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Vermont0.5421.0%1st Place
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4.11Maine Maritime Academy0.2715.2%1st Place
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3.76Northeastern University0.4617.3%1st Place
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4.42University of New Hampshire0.1012.6%1st Place
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4.18University of Vermont0.2414.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Minnesota-0.496.2%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.575.7%1st Place
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6.02Bates College-0.675.4%1st Place
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7.35Middlebury College-1.422.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 21.0% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 17.3% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Sam Harris | 12.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 12.6% |
| Michael Morley | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 15.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| William Procter | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.