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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.54+2.62vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57+3.79vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.24+0.21vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.46-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.49-0.34vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.67-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10-3.49vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.42-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of Vermont0.5418.6%1st Place
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5.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.577.1%1st Place
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4.11Maine Maritime Academy0.2715.6%1st Place
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4.21University of Vermont0.2414.4%1st Place
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3.78Northeastern University0.4616.7%1st Place
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5.66University of Minnesota-0.496.7%1st Place
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6.02Bates College-0.676.1%1st Place
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4.51University of New Hampshire0.1011.8%1st Place
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7.3Middlebury College-1.423.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 18.6% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Michael Morley | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 14.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 15.6% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 14.4% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 12.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 15.1% |
| Sam Harris | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| William Procter | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.