Race 5B

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nalu Ho 13.6% 14.8% 13.7% 13.8% 14.4% 11.3% 10.3% 5.9% 2.2%
Luke Quine 19.8% 17.9% 15.2% 15.0% 12.2% 7.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.3%
Aidan Boni 18.5% 17.3% 15.3% 14.3% 12.8% 10.2% 7.2% 3.1% 1.1%
Caitlin Derby 15.0% 13.7% 14.0% 13.1% 14.1% 11.3% 10.3% 6.7% 1.8%
Sam Harris 12.2% 12.4% 13.8% 13.1% 13.1% 13.4% 10.2% 8.5% 3.3%
Michael Morley 6.3% 6.7% 7.4% 9.3% 8.7% 13.6% 15.0% 19.3% 13.7%
Amanda Yolles 5.9% 5.8% 7.6% 8.6% 9.3% 11.3% 15.5% 19.6% 16.4%
Tiernan O'Kane 6.5% 8.9% 8.8% 8.6% 9.7% 13.0% 14.4% 16.7% 13.4%
William Procter 2.4% 2.5% 4.2% 4.1% 5.8% 8.0% 10.1% 16.2% 46.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.