← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Caroline Patten 11.8% 12.3% 13.5% 15.8% 15.3% 13.4% 13.2% 4.1% 0.6%
Morgan Wilson 6.5% 10.3% 12.9% 12.3% 16.1% 16.4% 12.9% 10.5% 2.1%
Amanda Johnson 4.8% 6.1% 7.6% 8.6% 10.5% 14.9% 22.9% 20.1% 4.5%
Lauren Turner 9.6% 10.0% 12.6% 13.5% 16.9% 14.9% 13.2% 7.9% 1.4%
Sara Morgan Watters 24.1% 19.8% 17.1% 12.5% 11.2% 8.6% 4.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Sydney Bolger 28.9% 26.2% 16.3% 14.5% 6.7% 4.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Christina Pryne 9.9% 11.0% 15.2% 15.1% 14.3% 15.2% 10.8% 7.7% 0.8%
Meredith Carroll 3.8% 3.4% 3.4% 6.4% 7.5% 9.0% 16.0% 37.0% 13.5%
Jennifer Mislinski 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 2.9% 4.0% 10.4% 77.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.