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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.43+2.13vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.81vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.75+2.71vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.84+1.94vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.46+0.27vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.51-0.85vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.65-1.26vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.76-4.27vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.87-0.89vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.11-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Michigan Technological University0.9744.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Michigan-0.4312.1%1st Place
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3.81Michigan Technological University-0.3013.0%1st Place
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6.71Hope College-1.753.4%1st Place
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6.94Northwestern University-1.843.2%1st Place
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6.27Northern Michigan University-1.464.6%1st Place
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6.15Northern Michigan University-1.514.5%1st Place
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6.74Michigan State University-1.653.9%1st Place
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4.73Grand Valley State University-0.769.2%1st Place
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9.11University of Toledo-2.871.1%1st Place
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9.34Saginaw Valley State University-3.111.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 44.0% | 26.8% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 12.1% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alex Cross | 13.0% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Daub | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| John Tirpak | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 5.2% |
| Lawrence Busse | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Avery | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 24.5% | 35.6% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 23.2% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.