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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.28vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.39+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.79+2.78vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+0.64vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-1.78vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51-3.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.50-2.55vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.23-1.33vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.70-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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4.87Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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4.64Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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3.22St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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2.69Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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6.67George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.41Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 22.9% | 20.1% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 1.4% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 24.1% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 28.9% | 26.2% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Pryne | 9.9% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Carroll | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 37.0% | 13.5% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.