← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University0.46+2.82vs Predicted
-
2Bates College-0.67+3.99vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.54+0.68vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.10+0.54vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-1.42+2.24vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.84vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.24-2.86vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-2.21vs Predicted
-
9University of Minnesota-0.49-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82Northeastern University0.4617.8%1st Place
-
5.99Bates College-0.676.3%1st Place
-
3.68University of Vermont0.5419.3%1st Place
-
4.54University of New Hampshire0.1011.1%1st Place
-
7.24Middlebury College-1.422.9%1st Place
-
4.16Maine Maritime Academy0.2714.7%1st Place
-
4.14University of Vermont0.2414.0%1st Place
-
5.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.577.1%1st Place
-
5.63University of Minnesota-0.496.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aidan Boni | 17.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
Amanda Yolles | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 17.2% |
Luke Quine | 19.3% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
Sam Harris | 11.1% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
William Procter | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 45.5% |
Nalu Ho | 14.7% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
Caitlin Derby | 14.0% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
Michael Morley | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 14.1% |
Tiernan O'Kane | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.