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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.54+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.24+0.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57+0.87vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.670.00vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.57vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.49-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Vermont0.5425.6%1st Place
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3.69University of New Hampshire0.1015.8%1st Place
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3.5University of Vermont0.2417.4%1st Place
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4.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.576.6%1st Place
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5.0Bates College-0.676.2%1st Place
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3.43Maine Maritime Academy0.2719.6%1st Place
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4.58University of Minnesota-0.498.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 25.6% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Sam Harris | 15.8% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 17.4% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 5.3% |
| Michael Morley | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 27.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 30.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 19.6% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.