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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.39+0.69vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+1.09vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-1.06+4.10vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.72-0.33vs Predicted
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6Williams College0.22-0.26vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.85-4.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-4.32vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-0.57-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Dartmouth College3.390.6%1st Place
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3.09Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.1Wesleyan University-1.060.0%1st Place
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3.67Dartmouth College1.720.1%1st Place
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5.74Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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3.42Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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6.61Wesleyan University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Johnstone | 55.7% | 26.9% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 14.8% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 20.1% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Hochman | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 11.0% | 20.9% | 56.8% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 9.3% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 23.0% | 18.1% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Revkin | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 30.4% | 24.5% | 10.9% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 11.5% | 18.2% | 23.9% | 21.2% | 15.5% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 5.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 25.9% | 21.8% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| Elaine Maskus | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 15.3% | 38.7% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.