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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.24+2.45vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.54-1.06vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.67-0.03vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.49-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Vermont0.2418.1%1st Place
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3.49Maine Maritime Academy0.2717.9%1st Place
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3.76University of New Hampshire0.1014.1%1st Place
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2.94University of Vermont0.5424.1%1st Place
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4.97Bates College-0.677.2%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.578.8%1st Place
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4.59University of Minnesota-0.499.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Derby | 18.1% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 5.5% |
| Nalu Ho | 17.9% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| Sam Harris | 14.1% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 8.2% |
| Luke Quine | 24.1% | 22.2% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 29.4% |
| Michael Morley | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 27.5% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.