Race 3A

brian-doyle-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Hunter Johnstone 53.8% 26.2% 11.5% 6.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 6.5% 13.0% 20.0% 18.8% 18.6% 12.9% 6.9% 2.8% 0.5%
Alejandro Bancalari 13.5% 22.5% 19.1% 19.9% 14.0% 7.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Ann Sager 5.3% 6.8% 12.3% 13.7% 18.0% 18.9% 16.3% 7.3% 1.4%
Nicholas Dragone 11.7% 19.7% 19.5% 16.1% 15.2% 10.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.2%
Priscilla Stoll 4.8% 6.1% 10.5% 13.1% 16.9% 21.5% 17.1% 8.7% 1.3%
Joshua Revkin 2.0% 3.8% 3.2% 5.7% 9.3% 17.1% 27.5% 21.9% 9.5%
Chase Hochman 1.0% 0.6% 1.4% 2.4% 3.2% 4.7% 8.6% 22.3% 55.8%
Elaine Maskus 1.4% 1.3% 2.5% 3.8% 3.5% 6.6% 15.9% 33.7% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.