Race 4A

brian-doyle-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Hunter Johnstone 53.7% 27.4% 10.8% 5.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 6.8% 13.8% 18.1% 19.7% 17.6% 13.5% 7.1% 3.1% 0.3%
Alejandro Bancalari 13.8% 21.1% 21.7% 16.4% 14.7% 8.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Priscilla Stoll 4.7% 7.1% 10.3% 14.1% 16.9% 20.5% 18.1% 6.9% 1.4%
Ann Sager 5.3% 8.6% 11.3% 15.0% 15.2% 18.4% 15.4% 8.7% 2.1%
Nicholas Dragone 11.6% 15.9% 20.6% 18.0% 16.4% 10.9% 5.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Joshua Revkin 2.0% 3.9% 3.2% 6.2% 9.7% 15.6% 27.6% 22.3% 9.5%
Elaine Maskus 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 3.3% 4.7% 6.9% 14.7% 34.7% 30.6%
Chase Hochman 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 3.0% 5.0% 8.7% 22.2% 55.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.