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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.54+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.24+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.49+0.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-0.20vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.60vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.67-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Vermont0.5425.6%1st Place
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3.49University of Vermont0.2417.3%1st Place
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3.76University of New Hampshire0.1014.4%1st Place
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4.65University of Minnesota-0.499.0%1st Place
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4.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.577.3%1st Place
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3.4Maine Maritime Academy0.2719.1%1st Place
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4.94Bates College-0.677.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 25.6% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 17.3% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 5.9% |
| Sam Harris | 14.4% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 21.6% |
| Michael Morley | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 24.3% |
| Nalu Ho | 19.1% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.