Race 5A

brian-doyle-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Hunter Johnstone 54.0% 26.7% 11.4% 5.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alejandro Bancalari 11.7% 20.2% 23.1% 17.3% 13.5% 8.9% 4.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 9.2% 15.1% 17.1% 18.3% 18.2% 12.0% 7.3% 2.6% 0.2%
Elaine Maskus 1.1% 1.0% 2.4% 3.5% 4.9% 7.6% 19.1% 30.3% 30.1%
Priscilla Stoll 5.0% 7.5% 12.8% 13.9% 14.6% 18.8% 15.7% 9.2% 2.5%
Nicholas Dragone 10.8% 17.1% 18.5% 20.3% 17.1% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Ann Sager 4.9% 7.8% 8.5% 13.2% 17.4% 22.5% 15.7% 8.8% 1.2%
Joshua Revkin 2.6% 3.2% 5.2% 5.9% 9.3% 14.9% 25.4% 21.9% 11.6%
Chase Hochman 0.7% 1.4% 1.0% 2.1% 3.1% 4.8% 7.8% 24.9% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.