← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont0.24+2.45vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont0.54+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+0.42vs Predicted
-
4Bates College-0.67+0.92vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire0.10-1.27vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-1.15vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-0.49-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.45University of Vermont0.2418.4%1st Place
-
3.04University of Vermont0.5424.0%1st Place
-
3.42Maine Maritime Academy0.2719.9%1st Place
-
4.92Bates College-0.676.7%1st Place
-
3.73University of New Hampshire0.1014.6%1st Place
-
4.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.577.6%1st Place
-
4.6University of Minnesota-0.498.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Derby | 18.4% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Luke Quine | 24.0% | 20.8% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Nalu Ho | 19.9% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 28.6% |
| Sam Harris | 14.6% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 8.3% |
| Michael Morley | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 26.8% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.