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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Hunter Johnstone 52.7% 26.9% 12.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 6.4% 13.0% 19.2% 19.8% 17.6% 13.2% 7.1% 3.5% 0.2%
Ann Sager 4.2% 7.4% 9.7% 14.6% 15.8% 22.2% 17.6% 6.5% 2.0%
Nicholas Dragone 11.9% 16.8% 20.5% 19.9% 14.2% 11.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Alejandro Bancalari 16.3% 23.0% 20.1% 15.8% 12.7% 7.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Joshua Revkin 2.1% 3.6% 4.8% 6.9% 10.5% 13.2% 27.5% 22.3% 9.1%
Priscilla Stoll 4.6% 6.7% 9.6% 11.3% 19.9% 21.4% 16.4% 7.8% 2.3%
Elaine Maskus 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 3.5% 4.4% 7.2% 14.3% 35.1% 30.7%
Chase Hochman 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.5% 9.2% 23.0% 55.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.