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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+1.64vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.03+1.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21-1.10vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.35+0.13vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-0.70vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.03+0.06vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.42-0.17vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.55-1.08vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.63-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.41Dartmouth College2.030.1%1st Place
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1.9Dartmouth College3.210.5%1st Place
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4.13University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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4.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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6.06Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.83Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.92Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.82Middlebury College-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 24.0% | 26.9% | 23.4% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Kavookjian | 11.0% | 18.7% | 23.9% | 22.5% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 46.9% | 28.9% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 7.4% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 24.4% | 15.8% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 23.9% | 15.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 13.4% | 3.2% |
| Kellyn Maves | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 15.0% | 32.5% | 38.9% |
| William Thomas | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 26.4% | 46.1% |
| Nicole Hoesterey | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 17.8% | 30.4% | 24.8% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.