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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+1.60vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.03+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.35+1.20vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21-2.13vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-1.72vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.63-0.14vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.03-1.89vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.55-2.09vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.42-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.4Dartmouth College2.030.1%1st Place
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4.2University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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1.87Dartmouth College3.210.5%1st Place
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4.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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6.86Middlebury College-0.630.0%1st Place
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6.11Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.91Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
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7.77Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 24.1% | 28.5% | 21.9% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Kavookjian | 11.4% | 18.3% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 23.7% | 24.4% | 15.4% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 48.4% | 27.4% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 5.9% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 25.6% | 16.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Hoesterey | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 17.4% | 30.9% | 23.7% | 12.8% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 29.0% | 27.4% | 13.3% | 3.8% |
| William Thomas | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 29.6% | 44.5% |
| Kellyn Maves | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 16.4% | 30.4% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.