← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.21+0.91vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.35+2.37vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.55-0.39vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.03-0.82vs Predicted
-
6Williams College-0.03+0.04vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-2.62vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-0.63-1.13vs Predicted
-
9Wesleyan University-1.42-1.25vs Predicted
-
11Wesleyan University-1.55-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.91Dartmouth College3.210.4%1st Place
-
4.37University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
-
2.61Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
-
3.18Dartmouth College2.030.2%1st Place
-
6.04Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
-
4.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
-
6.87Middlebury College-0.630.0%1st Place
-
7.75Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
-
7.89Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 44.9% | 31.5% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 5.0% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 24.0% | 16.5% | 7.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Conor Fowler | 24.3% | 27.6% | 23.7% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Kavookjian | 15.8% | 19.6% | 23.0% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 27.7% | 23.7% | 14.5% | 4.3% |
| Robert Queisser | 6.3% | 6.8% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 25.8% | 18.0% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Hoesterey | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 16.2% | 32.8% | 24.7% | 11.8% |
| Kellyn Maves | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 30.8% | 38.6% |
| William Thomas | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 14.9% | 27.2% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.