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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.35+2.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.03+0.33vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.55-1.45vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-0.72vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.63+0.82vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.42+0.82vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.55-0.09vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.03-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Dartmouth College3.210.5%1st Place
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4.32University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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3.33Dartmouth College2.030.1%1st Place
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2.55Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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6.82Middlebury College-0.630.0%1st Place
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7.82Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.91Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.07Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 47.3% | 27.7% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 5.0% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 26.2% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Kavookjian | 13.0% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 24.8% | 27.9% | 25.2% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 6.4% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 23.9% | 15.9% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Hoesterey | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 18.7% | 31.0% | 23.8% | 11.5% |
| Kellyn Maves | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 15.4% | 32.3% | 38.8% |
| William Thomas | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 14.5% | 27.1% | 45.5% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 29.1% | 25.7% | 13.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.