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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.76vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.81+2.73vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.54+0.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.68+0.71vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-0.90vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.60+0.83vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.75-0.35vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.74-1.42vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.34-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.3%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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3.2Old Dominion University3.540.2%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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4.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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6.83Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.65Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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6.58George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 28.9% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Burke | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 22.8% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sara Burke | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 13.3% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 29.6% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 24.2% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 25.6% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.