Race 2B

laker-showdown

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Rodenroth 42.0% 29.0% 15.0% 8.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Peloquin 13.5% 14.1% 15.2% 16.5% 14.5% 10.5% 7.8% 4.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Alex Cross 14.1% 17.6% 18.5% 16.6% 12.8% 9.5% 6.3% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Thomas Weykamp 3.7% 4.8% 6.3% 8.0% 9.3% 10.7% 12.1% 15.8% 14.6% 10.2% 4.5%
Garrett Szlachta 8.9% 11.7% 15.2% 13.8% 16.2% 11.8% 10.1% 7.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Matthew Daub 3.7% 4.5% 5.8% 6.9% 8.9% 10.2% 14.3% 14.4% 14.9% 11.2% 5.2%
Lawrence Busse 4.7% 6.2% 6.7% 9.5% 10.8% 13.6% 13.1% 13.5% 11.8% 7.8% 2.6%
John Tirpak 2.7% 3.5% 5.3% 6.8% 7.5% 11.3% 11.0% 14.8% 17.1% 13.6% 6.4%
Claire DeVoogd 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 5.5% 6.2% 9.4% 20.2% 46.7%
Nathan Sylvester 4.8% 5.6% 8.6% 9.0% 10.4% 12.3% 12.6% 13.5% 12.8% 8.1% 2.2%
Cooper Avery 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.7% 6.6% 7.5% 12.2% 25.9% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.