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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+1.36vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21-0.20vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.03-1.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-1.16vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.63-0.99vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.03-2.71vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.55-2.03vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.42-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Boston University2.550.3%1st Place
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1.8Dartmouth College3.210.5%1st Place
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2.93Dartmouth College2.030.2%1st Place
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3.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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6.01Middlebury College-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.29Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.97Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
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6.79Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 26.7% | 31.8% | 24.3% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 48.1% | 30.1% | 16.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Kavookjian | 15.2% | 20.7% | 32.4% | 21.4% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 6.1% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 36.2% | 20.2% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hoesterey | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 20.4% | 29.5% | 26.7% | 12.5% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 13.6% | 31.6% | 27.4% | 13.7% | 4.4% |
| William Thomas | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 26.0% | 47.3% |
| Kellyn Maves | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 19.3% | 31.4% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.