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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+0.75vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.55+0.40vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.03-0.05vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.03+1.34vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-2.16vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.63-1.05vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.42-2.16vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.55-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Dartmouth College3.210.5%1st Place
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2.4Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
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2.95Dartmouth College2.030.2%1st Place
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5.34Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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5.95Middlebury College-0.630.0%1st Place
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6.84Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.92Wesleyan University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 51.3% | 28.8% | 14.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 24.9% | 32.7% | 24.0% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Kavookjian | 15.3% | 20.4% | 30.5% | 23.5% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 31.6% | 27.3% | 16.2% | 3.8% |
| Robert Queisser | 5.9% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 34.8% | 19.9% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hoesterey | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 21.5% | 28.4% | 24.2% | 13.5% |
| Kellyn Maves | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 17.7% | 29.2% | 40.0% |
| William Thomas | 0.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 7.2% | 16.6% | 28.4% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.