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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+1.38vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+1.39vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+2.07vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.39-0.54vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.13-0.89vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Tulane University2.4633.6%1st Place
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3.39Florida State University1.9516.8%1st Place
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5.07Jacksonville University0.845.9%1st Place
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3.46Jacksonville University1.3917.7%1st Place
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3.72College of Charleston1.4513.9%1st Place
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4.52University of Wisconsin1.148.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Texas0.133.2%1st Place
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7.34Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Cameron Giblin | 33.6% | 27.6% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 16.8% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
Stefanos Pappas | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 5.5% |
Gordon Gurnell | 17.7% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
Grace Squires | 13.9% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
Charlie Herrick | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 12.7% | 2.7% |
Reilly Linn | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 36.9% | 20.5% |
Jason Elliott | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 15.3% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.