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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+6.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.97+6.15vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.71+6.15vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.96+4.33vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+0.58vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70-0.18vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73-1.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.25+1.80vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.91-4.79vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.21-3.53vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55-1.94vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University2.71-3.56vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-4.26vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.48-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.15Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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5.21Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.06Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.44Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.74Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 7.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Price | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Bradley Abbott | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 20.1% |
| William Bowman | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 14.6% |
| John McGlynn | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% |
| Becker Awqatty | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.