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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+6.35vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+3.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+4.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.27vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.48+5.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70-0.22vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.55+2.76vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.97+0.34vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-3.37vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.91-4.75vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University2.71-1.71vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.25-0.96vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.71-3.56vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.96-5.70vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.36Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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5.78Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.76Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.63Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.29Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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9.44Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.3Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.75Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.0% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| David Larson | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% |
| Christopher Price | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| William Bowman | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John McGlynn | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| Bradley Abbott | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 23.2% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.