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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+3.94vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+1.49vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.46-0.59vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.39-0.42vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14-1.50vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11+0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.13-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Jacksonville University0.846.3%1st Place
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3.49Florida State University1.9516.1%1st Place
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2.41Tulane University2.4635.0%1st Place
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3.58Jacksonville University1.3915.1%1st Place
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3.69College of Charleston1.4513.8%1st Place
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4.5University of Wisconsin1.1410.1%1st Place
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7.4Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.7%1st Place
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6.0University of Texas0.132.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Stefanos Pappas | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 23.2% | 18.2% | 5.4% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 16.1% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
Cameron Giblin | 35.0% | 25.2% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Gordon Gurnell | 15.1% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
Grace Squires | 13.8% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
Charlie Herrick | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 13.0% | 2.9% |
Jason Elliott | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 14.9% | 71.8% |
Reilly Linn | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 36.9% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.