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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.71+7.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+3.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+1.19vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University2.71+4.28vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.55+3.85vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.25+3.69vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+1.82vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.23-1.58vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96-1.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-5.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.21-4.30vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.48-2.72vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-9.50vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.97-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.19Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.28Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.85Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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9.82Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Nunn | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| David Larson | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| William Bowman | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| John McGlynn | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% |
| Bradley Abbott | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 20.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Becker Awqatty | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 15.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Price | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.