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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+4.11vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+3.54vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+5.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+3.42vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+0.89vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.96+2.35vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+2.72vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University2.71+1.23vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.79vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.71-0.67vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-6.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.23-5.37vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.25-3.04vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.55-5.18vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.48-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.23Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.33Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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9.82Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.95Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% |
| John McGlynn | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| David Larson | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Bradley Abbott | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 23.7% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.