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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+4.06vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+3.60vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.96+5.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.23+3.35vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.25+4.79vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-1.47vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.48+1.07vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University2.71-0.81vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.55-1.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.21-4.54vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.48vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.97-5.43vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-5.23vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.71-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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5.6Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.19Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.88Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.19Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Abbott | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 22.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.9% |
| John McGlynn | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| David Larson | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Price | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.