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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+6.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+5.23vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.96+5.26vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+1.76vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+4.84vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.55+3.81vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-1.45vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.91-2.79vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.71+0.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.66vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-5.21vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.25-0.97vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.48-2.74vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.97-5.76vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University2.71-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.76Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.84Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.81Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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5.55Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.19Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.17Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Bowman | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| David Larson | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Bradley Abbott | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 22.9% |
| Becker Awqatty | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 15.9% |
| Christopher Price | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| John McGlynn | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.