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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+7.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.23+5.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+2.02vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+1.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.40vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.71+3.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21+0.43vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.96+0.37vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+0.72vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-4.20vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.48-0.96vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-6.22vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.55-2.96vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University2.71-4.83vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.25-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.02Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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5.74Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.29Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.37Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.8Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.04Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.17Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| William Bowman | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| David Larson | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Becker Awqatty | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 17.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% |
| John McGlynn | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Bradley Abbott | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.