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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.73+4.63vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.71+7.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+2.07vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.96+4.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+0.89vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79-0.51vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.23+0.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.71vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+0.78vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.48+0.13vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University2.71-1.79vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.21-4.30vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.97-4.37vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.55-4.26vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.25-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.04Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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5.07Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.3Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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5.89Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.21Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.74Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| William Bowman | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| David Larson | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| Becker Awqatty | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 15.0% |
| John McGlynn | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Price | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| Bradley Abbott | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.