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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.78vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+2.39vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.54+0.19vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.81+0.41vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.74+1.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.68-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.34-1.51vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.60-1.15vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.3%1st Place
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4.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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3.19Old Dominion University3.540.2%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.49George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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6.85Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.6Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 29.0% | 22.9% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 9.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Katrina Williams | 22.2% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Burke | 10.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 25.4% |
| Sara Burke | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 8.5% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 30.9% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.