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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.22vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.02+1.46vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.30+1.04vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.36-0.02vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.46+1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.71+0.83vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.75-0.07vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.51-1.57vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.84-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.87-0.83vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.11-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Michigan Technological University0.9739.8%1st Place
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3.46Michigan State University0.0215.9%1st Place
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4.04Michigan Technological University-0.3011.5%1st Place
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3.98Grand Valley State University-0.3613.4%1st Place
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6.34Northern Michigan University-1.464.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Michigan-1.713.4%1st Place
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6.93Hope College-1.753.0%1st Place
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6.43Northern Michigan University-1.514.1%1st Place
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7.09Northwestern University-1.843.4%1st Place
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9.17University of Toledo-2.870.9%1st Place
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9.5Saginaw Valley State University-3.110.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 39.8% | 25.7% | 18.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 15.9% | 20.3% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 11.5% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 13.4% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Daub | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| John Tirpak | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 5.7% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 24.1% | 36.4% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 23.7% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.