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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.11vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.96+6.17vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+5.28vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71+5.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+2.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91-0.90vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+2.71vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.55+1.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.21-1.57vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.25+0.82vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-5.12vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.48-2.68vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-8.29vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University2.71-5.78vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.73-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.17Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.15Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.1Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.71Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.82Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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5.88Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.22Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Christopher Price | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| William Bowman | 14.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Bradley Abbott | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 22.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.9% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| John McGlynn | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.