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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+4.15vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.71+7.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+4.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+1.79vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.96+3.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73-0.30vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.48+2.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.74vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.21-1.59vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.79-4.40vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.97-2.62vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University2.71-2.51vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.55-3.98vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-5.20vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.25-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.04Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.79Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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5.6Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.49Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.02Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.8Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 13.7% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% |
| David Larson | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Price | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| John McGlynn | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
| Bradley Abbott | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.