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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+4.75vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.55+7.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+1.99vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71+5.20vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+0.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.23+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.25+3.66vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.97+0.38vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.81vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-4.23vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96-3.62vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.21-5.30vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.48-3.74vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-5.23vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University2.71-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.6Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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4.99Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.2Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.77Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.22Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% |
| William Bowman | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Bradley Abbott | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 20.1% |
| Christopher Price | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| David Larson | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% |
| John McGlynn | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.