Race 12A

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
William Bowman 13.2% 15.7% 12.4% 10.0% 9.1% 7.3% 9.1% 6.1% 5.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%
John McGlynn 4.2% 3.9% 3.5% 7.1% 5.3% 5.2% 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 7.6% 5.9% 9.0% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2%
Charles Nunn 4.4% 3.7% 5.6% 4.9% 4.8% 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 7.1% 6.3% 10.1% 8.9% 9.8% 9.3% 7.5%
Tyler Rice 6.5% 7.8% 7.6% 6.3% 8.2% 9.0% 7.2% 6.4% 7.5% 7.6% 7.3% 6.8% 5.7% 3.7% 2.4%
Christopher Price 6.0% 5.4% 5.4% 5.7% 6.7% 6.7% 6.1% 6.1% 7.0% 9.1% 7.9% 7.1% 8.2% 7.1% 5.5%
Bradley Abbott 2.3% 3.2% 2.4% 3.1% 4.1% 3.2% 3.7% 4.2% 4.3% 6.0% 9.3% 8.1% 10.3% 16.2% 19.6%
Jordan Bothwick 6.6% 4.8% 4.2% 6.8% 6.5% 6.8% 6.6% 6.5% 8.1% 8.5% 7.7% 7.2% 6.9% 8.1% 4.7%
Ryan Astwood 11.9% 10.4% 9.5% 9.3% 8.5% 9.3% 8.0% 7.8% 7.5% 5.2% 4.4% 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.9%
Robert Lippincott 3.1% 3.0% 3.8% 4.3% 3.3% 5.4% 5.4% 6.7% 6.9% 8.0% 8.4% 8.5% 11.5% 10.3% 11.4%
David Liebenberg 5.6% 6.4% 7.7% 7.3% 7.6% 6.9% 8.1% 8.4% 8.5% 6.3% 5.8% 8.4% 5.7% 4.4% 2.9%
Conor Cashel 3.4% 3.1% 4.1% 4.8% 4.1% 4.7% 5.5% 6.2% 5.8% 7.3% 7.5% 7.7% 8.3% 11.5% 16.0%
Andrew Mollerus 10.8% 10.5% 11.1% 10.1% 10.8% 8.3% 6.8% 8.3% 6.1% 5.5% 4.5% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Becker Awqatty 2.8% 2.6% 3.7% 4.3% 3.7% 4.4% 4.3% 5.8% 4.9% 6.5% 6.9% 9.4% 11.3% 13.4% 16.0%
Connor Corgard 11.2% 11.9% 11.2% 9.5% 9.0% 9.5% 8.2% 7.2% 7.0% 4.6% 3.7% 3.7% 1.5% 1.7% 0.1%
David Larson 8.0% 7.6% 7.8% 6.5% 8.3% 7.8% 7.7% 7.1% 6.7% 6.9% 7.8% 6.5% 5.7% 2.5% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.