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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+4.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+3.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+4.38vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71+5.18vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University2.71+4.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+1.41vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-1.95vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.25+1.77vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.48+0.14vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-2.15vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.55-2.90vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-8.23vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-6.73vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.96-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.5Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.18Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.29Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont2.250.0%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.85Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.1Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 12.4% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% |
| John McGlynn | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| William Bowman | 14.7% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Bradley Abbott | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 20.5% |
| Becker Awqatty | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Price | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.