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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.36+7.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.19+6.59vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+2.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.55+0.66vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00+1.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64-1.61vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.03+2.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-2.33vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.70-1.84vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.17+1.58vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-2.51vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.73vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.70-5.59vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.45-3.10vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-1.73-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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5.45Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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4.66Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.36Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.39Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.58Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.49Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.9Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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14.76Columbia University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Thomas | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 0.6% |
| John Renehan | 9.8% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 35.8% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 24.7% | 2.1% |
| James Price | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 92.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.