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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+1.36vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+1.41vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+1.93vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.45-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.13+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14-1.51vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.39-3.48vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Tulane University2.4635.8%1st Place
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3.41Florida State University1.9516.4%1st Place
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4.93Jacksonville University0.847.0%1st Place
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3.89College of Charleston1.4511.8%1st Place
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6.05University of Texas0.133.0%1st Place
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4.49University of Wisconsin1.148.7%1st Place
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3.52Jacksonville University1.3916.4%1st Place
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7.36Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Cameron Giblin | 35.8% | 26.2% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 16.4% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
Stefanos Pappas | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 21.9% | 17.5% | 6.2% |
Grace Squires | 11.8% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
Reilly Linn | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 37.5% | 18.6% |
Charlie Herrick | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 2.5% |
Gordon Gurnell | 16.4% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
Jason Elliott | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 15.6% | 70.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.