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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+3.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+2.26vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+3.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+3.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18-0.33vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29+1.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.70-0.83vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23-3.52vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.03-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.19-3.16vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.36-4.53vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.45-3.01vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.17-3.49vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-1.73-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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4.26Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.13Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.44Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.48Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.47Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.99Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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11.51Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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14.77Columbia University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 16.0% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 17.2% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| John Renehan | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Charles Proctor | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Duncan | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 27.1% | 1.8% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 34.8% | 3.0% |
| James Price | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 3.8% | 92.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.