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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.25vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.02+1.48vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.46+3.31vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.300.00vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.36-0.97vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.75+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.71-0.19vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.51-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.87+0.04vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.84-2.79vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.11-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Michigan Technological University0.9738.7%1st Place
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3.48Michigan State University0.0217.3%1st Place
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6.31Northern Michigan University-1.464.2%1st Place
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4.0Michigan Technological University-0.3012.6%1st Place
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4.03Grand Valley State University-0.3612.3%1st Place
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6.98Hope College-1.753.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Michigan-1.712.8%1st Place
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6.38Northern Michigan University-1.514.7%1st Place
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9.04University of Toledo-2.870.9%1st Place
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7.21Northwestern University-1.842.5%1st Place
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9.5Saginaw Valley State University-3.111.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 38.7% | 25.4% | 18.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 17.3% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Alex Cross | 12.6% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 12.3% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Daub | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 25.6% | 32.4% |
| John Tirpak | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 20.9% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.