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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.81+1.58vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+0.09vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.54-1.89vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.60+0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.34-1.52vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.75-1.43vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.74-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.3%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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4.58Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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3.11Old Dominion University3.540.2%1st Place
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6.81Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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6.57Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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6.61George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 28.8% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sara Burke | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Lauren Burke | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 13.4% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Katrina Williams | 24.6% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 28.7% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 9.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 24.9% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.