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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+5.16vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.36+6.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+1.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+0.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.70+2.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.11vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29+1.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-3.26vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.70-2.89vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-5.40vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.17-0.44vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.19-4.01vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.45-2.98vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.03-5.76vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-1.73-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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4.53Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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4.39Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.42Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.6Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.56Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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11.02Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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14.77Columbia University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 17.2% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| John Renehan | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 35.6% | 4.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 26.9% | 2.0% |
| John Duncan | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 0.5% |
| James Price | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 5.1% | 91.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.