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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+5.23vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.03+6.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+0.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70+2.35vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18-0.29vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.70+0.26vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55-3.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.91vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.36-1.56vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University1.87-1.18vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.29-3.18vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.17-1.22vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-1.73-0.19vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.19-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.49Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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4.44Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.71Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.74Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.82Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.82Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.78Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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14.81Columbia University-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 16.3% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 15.0% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Hunger | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 39.9% | 4.5% |
| James Price | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 3.7% | 93.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.