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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.97+7.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.72+8.02vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+5.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+2.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.90+3.56vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.54+5.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+5.63vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46+5.23vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.85-4.16vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-2.28vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.49-0.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.60vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09-5.67vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-3.57vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.58-4.16vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.97-3.84vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.25-5.99vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.05-6.04vs Predicted
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19Fairfield University0.73-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Boston College1.977.0%1st Place
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10.02Brown University1.724.5%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University2.125.1%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University2.4811.5%1st Place
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8.56Yale University1.905.2%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University1.543.8%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.2%1st Place
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13.23Salve Regina University0.461.7%1st Place
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4.84Yale University2.8517.0%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College2.066.6%1st Place
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10.47Northwestern University1.494.0%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.2%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University2.098.9%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University1.594.7%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University1.583.6%1st Place
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12.16Boston University0.972.6%1st Place
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11.01Brown University1.253.7%1st Place
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11.96University of Rhode Island1.052.9%1st Place
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13.17Fairfield University0.731.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jed Bell | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 16.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 17.0% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Shea Smith | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Jack Derry | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| George Higham | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% |
| William George | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.