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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+5.22vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.29+6.42vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+5.25vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+3.19vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+0.67vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.18vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.17+4.57vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.70-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.19-0.12vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-5.52vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.55-6.20vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.87-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.03-3.47vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-9.34vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-1.73-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.42Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.25Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.67Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.57Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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4.48Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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4.8Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.03Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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14.79Columbia University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 0.4% |
| Jesse Thomas | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 38.6% | 3.8% |
| Charles Proctor | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 15.5% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 14.2% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 0.6% |
| John Duncan | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 0.6% |
| John Renehan | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Price | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 93.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.