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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+3.64vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+3.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+1.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+3.22vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00+1.40vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.22vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29+1.48vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-2.24vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.70-1.83vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.17+1.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-2.64vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.19-2.92vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University1.87-2.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.03-4.64vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-1.73-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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5.44Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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4.38Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.48Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.65Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.36Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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10.06Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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14.79Columbia University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 16.1% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 17.1% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| John Renehan | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 38.3% | 3.9% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 0.8% |
| John Duncan | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 0.7% |
| James Price | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 92.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.