Race 11B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ryan Mullins 16.0% 14.9% 13.1% 11.5% 10.7% 7.7% 7.6% 6.0% 4.8% 2.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke O'Connor 5.9% 7.5% 8.1% 7.7% 7.5% 8.0% 7.4% 9.3% 8.4% 8.1% 8.4% 6.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Bryce Kopp 11.6% 10.0% 10.9% 10.4% 9.9% 10.2% 8.9% 7.8% 7.5% 5.1% 3.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Patrick Penwell 3.3% 4.0% 4.4% 5.0% 6.1% 6.0% 5.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.9% 9.8% 11.3% 11.6% 8.1% 0.4%
Cameron Fraser 8.0% 10.3% 7.4% 8.8% 8.2% 8.4% 10.8% 7.1% 8.4% 9.0% 4.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Lucas Adams 15.8% 15.8% 14.4% 11.9% 10.2% 9.1% 7.3% 6.1% 3.6% 2.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Paggi 7.9% 6.0% 7.0% 6.4% 8.4% 7.3% 8.8% 10.1% 8.9% 6.9% 8.6% 5.9% 5.3% 2.4% 0.1%
Charles Proctor 6.7% 6.4% 7.3% 7.1% 6.2% 8.6% 7.7% 7.9% 9.3% 9.7% 7.9% 7.7% 4.8% 2.5% 0.2%
Jesse Thomas 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 7.5% 8.4% 9.7% 9.7% 9.7% 8.9% 4.7% 0.5%
John Renehan 10.3% 9.8% 9.5% 10.0% 10.7% 9.8% 7.7% 8.1% 7.6% 6.3% 4.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Jensen 4.0% 4.2% 5.1% 6.0% 5.0% 5.5% 7.4% 7.5% 8.3% 8.7% 10.0% 9.8% 11.0% 6.8% 0.7%
Brooke Baker 2.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 4.6% 4.9% 5.6% 6.1% 6.3% 7.4% 9.4% 12.8% 15.5% 17.6% 0.5%
John Duncan 2.7% 4.0% 3.2% 3.9% 4.3% 5.3% 5.1% 5.4% 6.6% 8.4% 11.7% 13.1% 14.0% 11.9% 0.4%
Jack Hunger 1.3% 0.9% 2.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 1.8% 3.5% 3.9% 6.4% 6.9% 9.4% 15.7% 39.1% 3.1%
James Price 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 2.4% 93.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.