← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.00+5.23vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.70+5.08vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.55+1.61vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.23+1.55vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.36+3.35vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.19+2.88vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.64-2.54vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.18-2.21vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.92vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University2.29-1.37vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.03-2.61vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.17-1.15vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.70-6.49vs Predicted
-
15Wesleyan University1.87-5.19vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University-1.73-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.23Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
-
7.08Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
-
4.61Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
-
5.55Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.35Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
8.88University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
4.46Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
-
5.79Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.63Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.39University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
-
11.85Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
-
7.51Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
-
9.81Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
-
14.78Columbia University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 14.6% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 16.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 0.1% |
| John Duncan | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 43.1% | 2.8% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 1.3% |
| James Price | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.