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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.35vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.47vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+5.60vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+0.74vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+0.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+0.83vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-2.46vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-0.93vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05+0.50vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-4.71vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.05-2.50vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.35-1.42vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.74Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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5.89Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.83Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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11.5Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.5Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.58Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Haley Powell | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.8% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 14.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 44.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.