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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.81+3.50vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+2.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.86vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.54-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.34+0.35vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.26vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.60-0.11vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.74-1.46vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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4.86U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.09Old Dominion University3.540.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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2.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.3%1st Place
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6.89Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.54George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.6Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Burke | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 9.5% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Sara Burke | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Katrina Williams | 24.1% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 9.4% |
| Megan Magill | 28.4% | 24.6% | 18.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 21.5% | 31.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 24.8% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.