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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.04vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.65+4.75vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.43+0.04vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.75+1.71vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.76-1.31vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.51-0.81vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.46-1.71vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.84-1.92vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.11-0.70vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-2.87-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Michigan Technological University0.9745.1%1st Place
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6.75Michigan State University-1.653.4%1st Place
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3.83Michigan Technological University-0.3013.5%1st Place
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4.04University of Michigan-0.4311.7%1st Place
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6.71Hope College-1.754.0%1st Place
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4.69Grand Valley State University-0.769.4%1st Place
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6.19Northern Michigan University-1.514.3%1st Place
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6.29Northern Michigan University-1.463.6%1st Place
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7.08Northwestern University-1.842.9%1st Place
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9.3Saginaw Valley State University-3.111.3%1st Place
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9.07University of Toledo-2.870.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 45.1% | 27.3% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Alex Cross | 13.5% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 11.7% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Daub | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 3.6% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Lawrence Busse | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| John Tirpak | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 6.1% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 44.5% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 26.0% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.